When we talk about “red flags” for NFL draft prospects, we’re usually talking about issues that are hard to quantify, like character or personality or leadership. With Wyoming quarterback Josh Allen, the red flag is very easy to quantify statistically.
Going back to 1997, there have been 27 quarterbacks chosen in the Top 100 picks despite having a negative score on the QBASE system. Not a single one of those 27 quarterbacks has turned out to be a Pro Bowler. Among the first round picks is an ugly group that includes Mark Sanchez, Josh Freeman, Kyle Boller, Rex Grossman, J.P. Losman, and Patrick Ramsey.
Some have argued that Allen’s stats stink because the team around him at Wyoming stunk. Perhaps that’s true. But hoping that a quarterback who couldn’t put up good numbers in college will manage to put up good numbers in the NFL is a risky proposition, especially with the first overall pick in the draft.
Today’s pro day slate includes Indiana State, North Carolina A&T, and Southeast Missouri. Tuesday brings Alcorn State, Boise State, Duke, North Carolina, and Tulane. Wednesday offers Ball State, LSU, New Mexico State, Sacramento State, and Southern. Thursday brings Arkansas State, Louisiana-Lafayette, and New Mexico. Friday’s the last day of the pro day calendar, and features Georgia Southern, Memphis, and South Alabama.
Other than at traditional draft prospect supplier LSU (Derrius Guice, D.J. Chark and others) and Boise State linebacker Leighton Vander Esch, there aren’t many top prospects left to see.
That allows teams to focus on private workouts, which have to be conducted on college campuses. Not all players are willing to participate, since it represents one more opportunity to get hurt or offer things to lower their stock. Stanford running back Christian McCaffrey turned down all those requests last year, and was selected eighth overall by the Panthers.